At BuffaloTraceDaily, we set out to answer one of the most common questions bourbon fans ask: When is the next special release coming from Buffalo Trace? To find out, we analyzed the full list of past release dates, looked at patterns tied to holidays and days of the week, and factored in the distillery’s known closure schedule—including the July 4 holiday. From that data, we ranked the top 10 most likely dates for the next special drop and explained the reasoning behind each one below.
Please note: this is our best-educated guess based on patterns—not an official schedule or confirmed release from the distillery. As always, Buffalo Trace keeps the final call under wraps until bottles hit the shelves.
Top 10 Most Likely Dates (Ranked & Explained)
Updated: June 30, 2025 | Based on release trends, holidays, and the distillery’s closure calendar
1. Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Most Likely Date
This is the first full Tuesday after the July 4 holiday, when the distillery is closed. Buffalo Trace often resumes activity after long weekends, and Tuesday is one of their most reliable drop days. It mirrors last year’s post–Independence Day release on July 9, 2024. Everything about this date lines up with their usual timing and rhythm.
2. Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Next-Best Option
If they take one more day after the holiday to regroup, this is the next logical choice. Wednesdays are another highly favored day for releases, especially for the Single Oak Project. Releasing exactly one year after a previous July 9 drop would be a neat repeat.
3. Tuesday, July 15, 2025
If They Take Two Weeks Off
If there’s a longer post-holiday pause, look to this date. It’s the second Tuesday after July 4 and maintains their consistent mid-week drop pattern. A later July drop would give them time to reset after a busy spring and early summer schedule.
4. Wednesday, July 16, 2025
Six Weeks After Last Single Oak Drop
This would fall exactly six weeks after the June 4 Single Oak Project release. That spacing would be consistent with how Buffalo Trace has handled releases in that series. If July 8 or 9 doesn’t bring a drop, this becomes a serious candidate.
5. Friday, July 18, 2025
Wildcard for a Weekend Launch
Although Friday is not a common release day, Buffalo Trace has occasionally used it for themed or limited-edition drops. This could be used for a summer “surprise” bottle or a collectible release heading into the weekend.
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6. Tuesday, July 22, 2025
Delayed Post-Holiday Release
If the distillery remains quiet through mid-July, this is a strong fallback. Three weeks after the July 4 holiday fits within the pattern used for previous post-holiday releases like those after Memorial Day and Father’s Day.
7. Wednesday, July 23, 2025
Last Likely Mid-Summer Window
If there are no new releases by this point, this may be the last mid-summer opportunity before a potential early August pause. Buffalo Trace sometimes clears the calendar here to prep for fall activity.
8. Saturday, August 2, 2025
Special Event Possibility
While Saturday drops are rare, they do happen—such as the Derby Day Blanton’s on May 3. If a bottle with a summer theme or special event appeal is planned, this could be a release made for in-person traffic.
9. Tuesday, August 5, 2025
Repeating a 2024 Pattern
This is the same day as a Single Oak release from 2024. If the distillery repeats its calendar rhythm year-over-year, this could be the start of a new seasonal release round.
10. Monday, August 4, 2025
Uncommon but Not Impossible
Monday is one of Buffalo Trace’s least-used release days, but they have made exceptions. For example, they released Eagle Rare 17 on Memorial Day (a Monday) in May 2025. If they want to spark early-week buzz, this could be the wildcard release date.
What to Watch For
- Most drops happen on Tuesdays or Wednesdays
- Buffalo Trace schedules releases around, but not on, major holidays
- The distillery is closed on July 4, Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year’s Day
Final Thoughts
All signs point to the next drop coming soon. If you’re following the patterns, Tuesday, July 8, 2025, is the day to watch. Whether it’s the return of the Single Oak Project, a new Experiential Collection release, or a surprise summer pick, that week fits perfectly in their historic release cadence.
Follow along at BuffaloTraceDaily for alerts, predictions, and insider bourbon news. We’re tracking every drop so you don’t have to.
Data Table
| Date | Day | Product |
| 06/15/25 | Sun | Eagle Rare 12 Year |
| 06/14/25 | Sat | Buffalo Trace Single Barrel Picks |
| 06/11/25 | Wed | EHT Rye |
| 06/04/25 | Wed | Single Oak Project |
| 05/27/25 | Tue | Sazerac 18 Year |
| 05/26/25 | Mon | Eagle Rare 17 Year |
| 05/03/25 | Sat | Derby Blanton’s Pick |
| 04/02/25 | Wed | Experiential Collection |
| 04/01/25 | Tue | Stagg |
| 03/25/25 | Tue | Single Oak Project |
| 03/18/25 | Tue | Experiential Collection |
| 03/05/25 | Wed | Experiential Collection |
| 02/28/25 | Fri | Experiential Collection |
| 02/22/25 | Sat | Single Oak Project |
| 02/21/25 | Fri | Experiential Collection |
| 02/14/25 | Fri | Thomas Handy |
| 11/25/24 | Mon | Single Oak Project |
| 11/14/24 | Thu | Single Oak Project |
| 11/06/24 | Wed | Single Oak Project |
| 10/22/24 | Tue | Single Oak Project |
| 10/07/24 | Mon | Single Oak Project |
| 09/23/24 | Mon | Single Oak Project |
| 09/10/24 | Tue | Single Oak Project |
| 08/28/24 | Wed | Single Oak Project |
| 08/05/24 | Mon | Single Oak Project |
| 07/09/24 | Tue | Single Oak Project |
| 06/13/24 | Thu | Single Oak Project |
I think the wildcard is that previously there wasn’t a new “eagle” release to consider — ER12 — symbolic of Independence Day. So being closed on the 4th, is the 3rd or 5th possibilities? Anything is.