A special release of Stagg this morning!

Known for its barrel proof strength and rich flavors of caramel, dark fruit, vanilla, and oak, Stagg remains one of the most sought-after bourbons produced by the distillery.

If you’re planning a visit today, expect strong demand as bourbon fans line up for a chance to purchase a bottle.

Good luck, and happy hunting!

Continue reading “Special Release News: Weller Single Barrel today, August 10th.” →

If you’re planning a trip to Buffalo Trace Distillery, recent bottle availability gives bourbon fans plenty of reason to be excited. For the past 30 days, visitors to the Buffalo Trace gift shop have found at least three of the five bottles tracked daily by Buffalo Trace Daily available every single day, including favorites such as Blanton’s, E.H. Taylor Jr. Small Batch, Eagle Rare, Single Oak Rye Bourbon, and Weller Antique 107.

The numbers are especially encouraging for out-of-town visitors hoping to buy allocated bourbon at Buffalo Trace. Instead of arriving to find just one allocated option, recent visitors have regularly had several bottles to choose from, and the selection has improved significantly throughout the summer. Special releases including Weller 12 Year, Stagg and E.H. Taylor Jr. Four Grain have also occasionally appeared alongside the regular gift shop lineup.

To see what first-time visitors can realistically expect, Buffalo Trace Daily analyzed 90 days of Buffalo Trace gift shop availability from May 12 through Aug. 9, 2026. We also analyzed the most recent 30 days of Buffalo Trace special releases to see how often they occurred, which bottles were released and whether recent releases show any day-of-week trends.

E.H. Taylor Has Been the Most Consistent Bottle

Buffalo Trace Daily currently tracks five bottles as part of the daily lineup: Blanton’s, E.H. Taylor Jr. Small Batch, Eagle Rare, Weller Antique 107 and Single Oak Rye Bourbon.

E.H. Taylor Jr. Small Batch has been the most consistently available bottle, appearing on 86 of the past 90 days, or 95.6% of the time. Weller Antique 107 was available on 74 days, or 82.2%, while Blanton’s appeared on 72 days, or 80%.

Eagle Rare has been considerably harder to catch. It was available on just 23 of the past 90 days, giving it a 25.6% availability rate. That makes it the least frequently available of the five bottles tracked and potentially one to prioritize when it does appear.

Single Oak Rye Bourbon’s Release Pattern Has Changed

Single Oak Rye Bourbon is a little different from the other bottles on the list. Earlier in 2026, Buffalo Trace Daily tracked SORB as a special release. That changed when the bottle began appearing much more frequently in July.

Because SORB is now regularly appearing alongside the normal daily allocated lineup, Buffalo Trace Daily has moved it into daily tracking rather than treating every appearance as a special release.

However, that is a Buffalo Trace Daily tracking decision based on recent release patterns. Buffalo Trace Distillery has not officially added Single Oak Rye Bourbon to its listed rotating allocated offerings.

Three or Four Bottles Has Become the Norm

Across the 90-day period, visitors averaged 3.23 of the five tracked bottles available per day. Days with only one or two bottles have become increasingly uncommon.

At least three tracked bottles were available on 76 of the past 90 days, or 84.4% of the time. Four or all five were available on 34 days.

Three bottles was the most common result, occurring on 42 days, followed by four bottles on 30 days. Together, three-bottle and four-bottle days accounted for 80% of the entire period.

The Selection Has Improved Considerably

The 90-day average doesn’t tell the whole story. Breaking the data into three 30-day periods shows how quickly the daily selection has improved.

Visitors averaged 2.63 tracked bottles per day during the first 30 days. That climbed to 3.23 during the next period and reached 3.83 bottles per day from July 11 through Aug. 9.

That’s an increase of nearly 46% from the first 30-day period to the most recent one.

The number of days with four or more bottles increased even faster. There were just two such days in the first 30-day period, followed by 10 in the second and 22 in the most recent 30 days.

In fact, there wasn’t a single one-bottle or two-bottle day from July 11 through Aug. 9. Eight days had three bottles, 19 had four and three days had all five. That means 73.3% of the most recent 30 days had at least four tracked bottles available.

Special Releases Happened on 20% of Recent Days

Buffalo Trace also occasionally releases bottles that aren’t part of the normal daily lineup. For these special releases, Buffalo Trace Daily focused on the most recent 30 days to give visitors a better picture of the current pattern.

From July 11 through Aug. 9, a special release occurred on six of 30 days, or 20% of the time.

Weller products accounted for four of the six releases, including Weller Single Barrel, Weller C.Y.P.B. and two appearances by Weller 12 Year. The other two releases were Stagg 26A and E.H. Taylor Jr. Four Grain.

Recent Special Releases Have Favored Early in the Week

All six special-release days during the most recent 30-day period fell between Monday and Wednesday.

Tuesday had the strongest recent pattern. Three of the four Tuesdays during the period featured a special release, a 75% rate. Two of the four Mondays also had a special release, along with one Wednesday.

There were no special releases recorded Thursday through Sunday during the same period. That doesn’t establish a Buffalo Trace release schedule, but it does show where releases have recently clustered. For an out-of-town visitor with flexibility in their itinerary, it’s another piece of recent history worth considering.

Special Releases Are a Bonus as Buffalo Trace’s Daily Bottle Selection Grows

Special releases get plenty of attention, but the regular gift shop selection has been the more consistent story.

Twenty-four of the most recent 30 days did not feature a special release. Despite that, visitors averaged 3.83 tracked bottles per day during the period and no day had fewer than three available.

Catching Stagg, Weller 12 Year or E.H. Taylor Jr. Four Grain can make a good visit even better. But visitors traveling to Frankfort shouldn’t view a special release as the only way to have a successful gift shop trip.

How Much Should You Budget?

Bottle prices matter when you walk into the gift shop and discover you have several options.

Eagle Rare is the least expensive of the five tracked bottles, but it has also been the hardest to catch, appearing on only 25.6% of days during the 90-day period.

E.H. Taylor Jr. Small Batch costs $59.99 and has been available on more than 95% of days, while Blanton’s costs $74.99 and has appeared on four out of every five days. If several bottles are available, those differences can help visitors decide which opportunity may be harder to replace.

Have a Purchase Strategy Before You Arrive

With several allocated bottles regularly available at the same time, first-time visitors should consider arriving with a ranked shopping list rather than focusing on one specific bottle.

Allocated bottles are limited to one of each offering per person per day, meaning visitors can purchase one of each allocated bottle available that day. Buffalo Trace also limits purchases to a total of 12 750ml bottles per person per day. With several allocated offerings regularly available at the same time, visitors should know which bottles are hardest to find at home, how much they want to spend and which bottles are highest on their wish list before they arrive.

Recent availability can help with that decision. Eagle Rare appeared on only 25.6% of the past 90 days, compared with 80% for Blanton’s and 95.6% for E.H. Taylor Jr. Small Batch.

Special releases should be treated as a bonus. One occurred on 20% of the most recent 30 days, while the regular daily lineup offered at least three tracked bottles every day during the same period.

What Should a First-Time Visitor Expect?

For an out-of-town bourbon fan making a first trip to Buffalo Trace, recent history is encouraging. Across the past 90 days, 84.4% of visits featured at least three tracked bottles.

The more recent trend has been even stronger. Every day during the past 30 days had at least three tracked bottles available and 73.3% had at least four.

The best strategy is simple: know the prices, understand the purchase limits and have a bottle priority list before you arrive. A special release may be the surprise of the trip, but recent history suggests visitors have had plenty to choose from even without one.

When bourbon fans talk about Buffalo Trace’s most sought-after bottles, names like Blanton’s, Stagg and Weller usually dominate the conversation. But tucked quietly into the distillery’s lineup is another bottle that many enthusiasts believe deserves far more attention: Rock Hill Farms Single Barrel Bourbon.

Produced at Buffalo Trace Distillery and bottled by Sazerac, Rock Hill Farms is a 100-proof single barrel bourbon made from the distillery’s famous Mash Bill #2, the same recipe behind favorites like Blanton’s, Elmer T. Lee and Hancock’s President’s Reserve. While it doesn’t generate the same buzz as some of its siblings, many bourbon lovers consider it one of the lineup’s best-kept secrets.

A Bourbon Named for Kentucky History

Rock Hill Farms takes its name from the rich farmland that stretches along the Kentucky River near Buffalo Trace Distillery. According to Sazerac, the limestone-filtered waters that wind through Kentucky’s Bluegrass region help nourish the land and contribute to the character of the bourbon bearing its name.

What Makes Rock Hill Farms Different?

Like other Mash Bill #2 bourbons, every bottle comes from a single barrel, meaning each release offers its own unique personality. It’s bottled at 100 proof (50% ABV), giving it a little more body and spice than some of its well-known relatives while remaining approachable enough to sip neat.

The Bottle Is Just as Distinctive

Even if you’ve never tasted Rock Hill Farms, you’ve probably noticed its elegant bottle.

The decanter-style design features etched horses running across rolling Kentucky farmland and is topped with an oversized glass stopper. It has one of the most recognizable presentations in the Buffalo Trace portfolio and looks just as impressive on a shelf as it does in a glass.

Why Is It So Hard to Find?

Like many Buffalo Trace products, availability is the biggest hurdle.

Rock Hill Farms is released in limited quantities, and demand regularly outpaces supply. Although its suggested retail price has historically been around $60, bottles often command significantly higher prices on the secondary market due to their scarcity.

Because it isn’t discussed as frequently as Blanton’s or Elmer T. Lee, it sometimes flies under the radar, making it one of the more rewarding bottles to discover if you happen to spot one at retail.

Is It Worth Hunting?

For fans of Buffalo Trace’s Mash Bill #2 bourbons, absolutely.

Rock Hill Farms offers everything enthusiasts love about the lineup: single barrel character, balanced sweetness, gentle rye spice and an easy-drinking 100-proof profile. It may not receive the same attention as some of its famous stablemates, but that’s exactly what makes finding one feel like such a victory.

If you ever come across a bottle at a fair price, don’t hesitate. It remains one of Buffalo Trace’s most underrated pours and a reminder that sometimes the quietest bottles leave the biggest impression.

Buffalo Trace Distillery released Colonel E.H. Taylor Jr. Four Grain on the morning of August 4, making it the first special release of August and it sold out quickly.

The release follows a busy July that featured seven special releases after Buffalo Trace paused any announced drops to address parking and traffic concerns.

In our Buffalo Trace Daily August Special Release Odds, we had August 4 as one of the highest probability dates of the month, and today’s Four Grain release validated that prediction.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, our timing model gives low odds because the gap since today’s release is shorter than the historical average between special releases. However, we have August 5 rated higher than the timing model alone because it is Elmer T. Lee’s birthday, making it a date worth watching.

Here’s the complete list with all winning numbers combined into a single table and sorted from lowest to highest, with the bottle listed in the second column.

Buffalo Trace Lottery Winners

A new month means a fresh set of Buffalo Trace Special Release Odds is now available on Buffalo Trace Daily.

Our August projections have been updated to reflect the latest release activity, giving members a day-by-day look at when special releases may be most likely throughout the month. The page also includes an interactive calendar, a complete release history and easy-to-read daily projections.

Best of luck this August, and happy bourbon hunting!

While no prediction can guarantee what Buffalo Trace will release, our odds are designed to help bourbon hunters plan their visits and make the most of every trip.

W.L. Weller 12 Year has been reported to be available at the Buffalo Trace Distillery Gift Shop today, giving visitors a rare opportunity to purchase one of the most sought-after bottles in the Weller lineup. As always, availability is limited and the bottle may sell out quickly.

FRANKFORT, Ky. — On the morning of June 25, bourbon hunters received what many believed was the notification they had been waiting months to see.

Buffalo Trace Distillery appeared to announce that Weller Full Proof, one of the most difficult bottles to purchase at the Frankfort gift shop, would finally be available.

Within minutes, screenshots spread across Facebook groups, Discord servers, bourbon forums and text chains. Enthusiasts began making plans to drive to Frankfort. Some were already on the road.

Then, just as quickly as it appeared, the announcement disappeared.

Buffalo Trace confirmed the notification had been posted in error and announced that the release had been canceled while the distillery worked on a safer process for handling future high-demand bottle releases.

The explanation immediately raised more questions than it answered.

Why cancel a bottle that was apparently ready to release?

Why was Weller Full Proof treated differently than every other special release?

And why has Buffalo Trace continued releasing other limited bottles while Weller Full Proof remains on hold?

After reviewing Buffalo Trace’s public statements, Frankfort Board of Commissioners meeting records and the distillery’s release schedule over the past month, a clearer picture begins to emerge.

While Buffalo Trace has confirmed only part of the story, the timeline suggests the canceled Weller Full Proof release may represent a turning point in how the distillery handles its biggest bottle drops moving forward.

A Timeline of Events

Viewed individually, each event seems routine.

Viewed together, they tell a much different story.

June 20: One of the Year’s Biggest Releases

The sequence begins on June 20, when Buffalo Trace released Weller C.Y.P.B., another highly coveted member of the Weller family.

Weller C.Y.P.B. is only released annually, drawing significant attention from bourbon enthusiasts tracking the distillery’s daily offerings.

Although Buffalo Trace has not released attendance figures, Weller releases routinely draw visitors from across Kentucky and neighboring states. Unlike standard daily allocated bottles, Weller special releases spread rapidly across social media, bringing enthusiasts willing to travel several hours for a chance to purchase a single bottle.

At the time, nothing appeared unusual.

The release came and went much like previous special drops.

But behind the scenes, local officials were already beginning to recognize a growing problem.

June 22: The Conversation Becomes Public

Just two days later, the issue reached Frankfort City Hall.

During the June 22 Frankfort Board of Commissioners meeting, City Manager Steve Goodwin publicly acknowledged increasing congestion around Buffalo Trace Distillery and confirmed the city had begun coordinating with Buffalo Trace leadership, the Kentucky Transportation Cabinet (KYTC) and other agencies to address the problem.

Officials described ongoing discussions focused on reducing traffic congestion while continuing to support tourism generated by the distillery.

Meeting records indicate city staff were already evaluating options for handling increasing vehicle traffic surrounding Wilkinson Boulevard, the primary roadway serving Buffalo Trace.

That public discussion is significant because it demonstrates concerns about Buffalo Trace’s growing popularity existed before the canceled Weller Full Proof announcement.

City leaders were no longer discussing isolated traffic backups.

They were discussing long-term infrastructure planning.

June 25: Everything Changes

Three days later came the moment bourbon enthusiasts won’t soon forget.

On June 25, Buffalo Trace’s digital channels briefly indicated Weller Full Proof would be available in the gift shop.

News traveled almost instantly.

Unlike years ago, today’s bourbon community operates through hundreds of interconnected Facebook groups, Discord channels, bottle-tracking websites, push notifications and text-message networks. A single screenshot can reach tens of thousands of enthusiasts within minutes.

For Buffalo Trace, that speed has become both a blessing and a challenge.

The distillery spent decades building brands like Weller into some of the most desirable bourbons in America.

Now demand has reached a point where simply announcing one bottle can potentially send thousands of vehicles toward Frankfort before the gift shop even opens.

Minutes after the announcement appeared, Buffalo Trace removed it.

The distillery later confirmed the notification had been published in error and explained the release had been canceled while officials worked on a safer process for future special releases.

Importantly, Buffalo Trace did not cite inventory shortages.

Instead, the explanation focused almost entirely on traffic, parking and public safety.

According to the distillery, previous large events had resulted in severe congestion, overflowing parking areas and safety concerns significant enough to delay the release until a better plan could be developed.

That distinction matters.

Had Buffalo Trace simply run out of bourbon, the explanation likely would have centered on production or availability.

Instead, the concern was what might happen outside the warehouse, not inside it.

Why Weller Full Proof Is Different

One question has surfaced repeatedly since June 25:

If Buffalo Trace continued releasing other special bottles, why not Weller Full Proof?

The distillery has not publicly answered that question.

However, Weller Full Proof occupies a unique place within Buffalo Trace’s portfolio.

Alongside bottles such as Stagg, Blanton’s Gold and select Antique Collection releases, Weller Full Proof consistently ranks among the most sought-after bottles available at the gift shop.

Demand extends far beyond Kentucky.

For many enthusiasts, a surprise Weller Full Proof release is enough to justify driving several hours with little notice.

That level of demand creates a logistical challenge unlike nearly any other bottle Buffalo Trace sells.

Long lines inside the gift shop are manageable.

Thousands of vehicles arriving on the same state highway over a short period are a different matter entirely.

And that’s where the story appears to shift from bourbon to infrastructure.

The Weller Full Proof Is Still Waiting

Nearly a month after the canceled June 25 release, one thing stands out above everything else:

Weller Full Proof still hasn’t been released.

That fact alone may offer one of the biggest clues in understanding what happened.

Buffalo Trace has never indicated the June 25 inventory was unavailable or that the bourbon needed additional aging. Instead, the distillery said it canceled the release while it worked to develop a safer process for handling high-demand bottle releases.

Since then, Buffalo Trace has not announced or held another Weller Full Proof release.

If the inventory prepared for June 25 has remained untouched, it would suggest Buffalo Trace could still have much of the inventory originally intended for the June 25 release, an amount that appeared intended to accommodate visitors throughout the day rather than selling out in just a few hours.

If that’s the case, the remaining obstacle may no longer be bourbon availability—but how to safely release it.

Success Has Become Buffalo Trace’s Biggest Challenge

For decades, Buffalo Trace worked to build brands like Blanton’s, Eagle Rare, Stagg and the Weller line into some of the most recognizable names in bourbon.

Today, that success presents an entirely different challenge.

The issue is no longer simply producing enough bourbon.

It’s safely accommodating the people who want to buy it.

Twenty years ago, a surprise bottle release might have attracted a few hundred local enthusiasts.

Today, a notification announcing Weller Full Proof can spread across the country in minutes, reaching thousands of collectors through social media, bottle-tracking websites and text alerts before Buffalo Trace employees have even unlocked the gift shop doors.

That level of demand doesn’t just create long lines.

It creates traffic backups extending onto Wilkinson Boulevard, overflowing parking lots, blocked intersections and concerns about emergency vehicle access.

According to Buffalo Trace, those concerns became significant enough that officials determined the June 25 release should not proceed until a better system could be developed.

Why Buffalo Trace Can’t Solve This Alone

One of the most common suggestions following the cancellation was simple:

“Why doesn’t Buffalo Trace just open another parking lot?”

Unfortunately, public records indicate the answer is far more complicated.

Because Buffalo Trace sits adjacent to US-127 (Wilkinson Boulevard), many potential traffic improvements extend beyond the distillery’s authority.

Implementing a comprehensive traffic plan could require coordination among several agencies, including:

• The Frankfort Board of Commissioners
• Kentucky Transportation Cabinet (KYTC)
• Franklin County officials
• Frankfort Police Department
• Franklin County Sheriff’s Office
• Emergency Management officials
• Public Works
• Buffalo Trace leadership

Potential improvements discussed in public records include remote parking locations, shuttle transportation, temporary traffic orders, encroachment permits and agreements allowing public property to be used during high-demand release events.

Each of those steps involves approvals extending beyond Buffalo Trace itself.

In other words, even if the distillery wanted to implement a new parking strategy tomorrow, many of the necessary decisions require cooperation from local and state government.

What Happens Next?

Although Buffalo Trace remains a frequent topic of discussion in Frankfort, no formal traffic proposal appears on the agenda for the Board of Commissioners’ July 27 meeting.

That doesn’t necessarily mean progress has stalled.

Meeting records indicate city staff continue working administratively with Buffalo Trace and KYTC representatives behind the scenes to develop possible solutions before presenting them publicly.

If those discussions produce a formal proposal, the earliest opportunity for public review would likely come during the Commission’s Aug. 10 work session.

Should the proposal require approval involving city property, traffic modifications or other municipal agreements, it could potentially move to a vote during the Commission’s Aug. 24 regular meeting.

Neither meeting is guaranteed to include Buffalo Trace business, but they represent the next scheduled opportunities should a proposal be ready.

Analysis: What the Timeline May Be Telling Us

The following section represents analysis by Buffalo Trace Daily based on publicly available information. Buffalo Trace has not confirmed these conclusions.

When viewed chronologically, the timeline presents several noteworthy patterns.

On June 20, Buffalo Trace released Weller C.Y.P.B., one of its most anticipated bottles.

On June 22, city officials publicly acknowledged growing traffic problems surrounding the distillery and confirmed discussions with Buffalo Trace and KYTC had already begun.

On June 25, Buffalo Trace canceled what appeared to be a planned Weller Full Proof release, citing safety concerns, traffic congestion and parking logistics.

Then, beginning just four days later, Buffalo Trace resumed releasing special bottles—but none appeared likely to generate the same level of immediate demand as a widely announced Weller Full Proof release.

That sequence does not prove one event caused another.

However, it strongly suggests Buffalo Trace and local officials were already evaluating how to manage increasingly large crowds before the June 25 announcement appeared.

The release pattern that followed raises another interesting possibility.

Rather than concentrating thousands of visitors into a single morning, Buffalo Trace may now be distributing smaller special releases across multiple dates while a longer-term traffic solution is developed.

To be clear, Buffalo Trace has never publicly stated this is its strategy.

It remains speculation based solely on the timing of the releases and the distillery’s own explanation that crowd management—not bourbon availability—prompted the cancellation.

If that interpretation proves accurate, it would explain why visitors have continued seeing limited special releases throughout July while one of the distillery’s most anticipated bottles has yet to return.

The Bottom Line

Perhaps the biggest takeaway isn’t what Buffalo Trace has said.

It’s what the distillery hasn’t said.

At no point has Buffalo Trace announced that Weller Full Proof has been canceled permanently.

Nor has it suggested the bourbon isn’t ready.

Instead, the distillery said the June 25 release was withdrawn while officials develop a safer process for future high-demand events.

Whether that process ultimately involves remote parking, shuttle buses, revised release procedures or another solution remains unknown.

But one thing appears increasingly clear.

For years, Buffalo Trace’s greatest challenge was producing enough bourbon to satisfy demand.

Today, it may be figuring out how to safely welcome everyone who wants to buy it.

And until that challenge is solved, the next Weller Full Proof release may depend less on what’s sitting inside the warehouses than on what happens outside the front gate.

W.L. Weller 12 Year has been reported to be available at the Buffalo Trace Distillery Gift Shop today, giving visitors a rare opportunity to purchase one of the most sought-after bottles in the Weller lineup. As always, availability is limited and the bottle may sell out quickly.

Continue reading “Today’s Drop: Weller Single Barrel” →

Visitors to the gift shop today have something new to keep an eye out for: Single Oak Rye Bourbon is now available for $74.99, while supplies last.

For fans following the evolution of the Single Oak Project, this is a pretty exciting moment. Earlier this year on Buffalo Trace Daily, we highlighted signs that the distillery might be preparing to bring the Single Oak concept back in a bigger way—and releases like this continue to support that prediction. It’s another signal the experimental barrel program may be stepping into a more consistent presence moving forward.

If you’re planning a visit soon, this is definitely one to watch for at the counter. As always with gift shop releases like this, availability can change quickly.

Price: $74.99
Availability: While supplies last. Limited to a bottle every 90 days.

We’ll keep tracking how often this shows up and whether it starts appearing in a more regular rotation.

If you’ve ever wondered why Buffalo Trace seems to release a special bottle one week but goes quiet the next, you’re not alone. While the distillery doesn’t publish a schedule, years of release history reveal patterns. That’s exactly what the Buffalo Trace Daily Odds Model is designed to measure.

The Special Release Odds Model combines two separate analyses to estimate the chance of another special release on the next open day. The first is a daily timing model that updates after every confirmed release based on the average gap between releases. The second is a monthly historical analysis that reflects where Buffalo Trace has historically been most likely to release bottles during that month.

Together, these two components produce the daily forecast.

For subscribers, that means a data-driven forecast that updates as new releases occur, helping you better understand when the odds of another special release may be improving.

Start With the Next Open Day Odds

This is the main number most visitors check first. It estimates the chance of a special release on the next open day.

In this example, the model shows 23%, or Low Odds for July 11 because a special release already happened on July 10.

Example only: When a release happens, the timing cycle resets and pushes the next-day odds lower.

As more open days pass without another release, the odds can climb again based on the model.

Check What Is Driving the Forecast

Every new special release immediately changes tomorrow’s forecast, allowing subscribers to see how today’s release affects the odds for the next open day.

Timing Score: Compares the current gap since the last special release to Buffalo Trace’s historical average gap.

30-Day Hit Rate: Captures the most recent release activity.

60-Day Hit Rate: Smooths short-term fluctuations.

90-Day Hit Rate: Provides the longer-term baseline.

Together, these measurements keep the forecast responsive as new release data becomes available.

Use the Model Snapshot for Context

The Model Snapshot shows the quick facts behind the current forecast.

90 Day Releases: how many special releases happened in the last 90 open days.

90 Day Open Days: how many open days are included in the sample.

Last Release: the most recent confirmed drop.

Average Open Day Gap: the average spacing between releases.

These numbers help explain why the forecast moves up or down instead of leaving you guessing.

The Odds Update Every Open Day

After each confirmed special release, the timing model updates automatically. The last release date changes, the open-day gap recalculates and the recent hit rates are refreshed.

The monthly historical analysis remains in place throughout the month, providing a consistent seasonal weighting until the next month’s analysis takes effect.

Monthly Pattern Analysis

The model also considers where the upcoming date falls within the month. Without this monthly analysis, every day of the month would be treated equally. Historical data shows that isn’t usually the case.

After analyzing years of Buffalo Trace release history, we’ve found that some portions of the month consistently produce more special releases than others. Those historical tendencies are built into the model as a monthly weighting.

Unlike the timing model, this analysis only changes once each month. It is based on long-term historical trends for that month and is recalculated as new monthly data is added over time, not after each daily release.

This means two days with similar timing scores can still receive different odds if one falls during a historically active part of the month while the other falls during a quieter stretch.

Built on Data, Not Guesswork

The Buffalo Trace Daily Odds Model is designed to identify when historical data suggests the chances of a special release are improving.

By combining years of confirmed release history, daily timing analysis and recurring monthly patterns, the model provides a forecast grounded in measurable trends rather than speculation. As new releases occur, the timing model updates while the monthly analysis continues to provide historical context.

The result is a forecast that helps subscribers understand not only today’s odds but also why those odds have changed.

See Buffalo Trace Special Releases at a Glance

The Special Release Odds page makes it easy to look back through the 90-day release calendar, spot highlighted release days and click any green date to instantly see which special release was available that day.

Find Release Days Fast

Green dates on the 90-day calendar mark confirmed special releases. Instead of searching through old posts, you can quickly see exactly when bottles were released and identify recent patterns.

Tap Any Date for Bottle Details

Simply tap any highlighted date to open a popup showing exactly which bottle was released that day, making it easy to review Buffalo Trace’s release history.

Visitors to the gift shop today have something new to keep an eye out for: Single Oak Rye Bourbon is now available for $74.99, while supplies last.

For fans following the evolution of the Single Oak Project, this is a pretty exciting moment. Earlier this year on Buffalo Trace Daily, we highlighted signs that the distillery might be preparing to bring the Single Oak concept back in a bigger way—and releases like this continue to support that prediction. It’s another signal the experimental barrel program may be stepping into a more consistent presence moving forward.

If you’re planning a visit soon, this is definitely one to watch for at the counter. As always with gift shop releases like this, availability can change quickly.

Price: $74.99
Availability: While supplies last. Limited to a bottle every 90 days.

We’ll keep tracking how often this shows up and whether it starts appearing in a more regular rotation.

Visitors to the gift shop today have something new to keep an eye out for: Single Oak Rye Bourbon is now available for $74.99, while supplies last.

For fans following the evolution of the Single Oak Project, this is a pretty exciting moment. Earlier this year on Buffalo Trace Daily, we highlighted signs that the distillery might be preparing to bring the Single Oak concept back in a bigger way—and releases like this continue to support that prediction. It’s another signal the experimental barrel program may be stepping into a more consistent presence moving forward.

If you’re planning a visit soon, this is definitely one to watch for at the counter. As always with gift shop releases like this, availability can change quickly.

Price: $74.99
Availability: While supplies last. Limited to a bottle every 90 days.

We’ll keep tracking how often this shows up and whether it starts appearing in a more regular rotation.

Visitors to the gift shop today have something new to keep an eye out for: Single Oak Rye Bourbon is now available for $74.99, while supplies last.

For fans following the evolution of the Single Oak Project, this is a pretty exciting moment. Earlier this year on Buffalo Trace Daily, we highlighted signs that the distillery might be preparing to bring the Single Oak concept back in a bigger way—and releases like this continue to support that prediction. It’s another signal the experimental barrel program may be stepping into a more consistent presence moving forward.

If you’re planning a visit soon, this is definitely one to watch for at the counter. As always with gift shop releases like this, availability can change quickly.

Price: $74.99
Availability: While supplies last. Limited to a bottle every 90 days.

We’ll keep tracking how often this shows up and whether it starts appearing in a more regular rotation.

Visitors to the gift shop today have something new to keep an eye out for: Single Oak Rye Bourbon is now available for $74.99, while supplies last.

For fans following the evolution of the Single Oak Project, this is a pretty exciting moment. Earlier this year on Buffalo Trace Daily, we highlighted signs that the distillery might be preparing to bring the Single Oak concept back in a bigger way—and releases like this continue to support that prediction. It’s another signal the experimental barrel program may be stepping into a more consistent presence moving forward.

If you’re planning a visit soon, this is definitely one to watch for at the counter. As always with gift shop releases like this, availability can change quickly.

Price: $74.99
Availability: While supplies last. Limited to a bottle every 90 days.

We’ll keep tracking how often this shows up and whether it starts appearing in a more regular rotation.

Daniel Weller Spelt Wheat is available at the Distillery today, giving visitors a rare opportunity to purchase one of Buffalo Trace’s newest and most experimental releases.

The second release in the Daniel Weller series, Spelt Wheat continues the Distillery’s mission of exploring how different ancient wheat varietals influence the flavor of wheated bourbon. Instead of changing barrel treatments or aging methods, Buffalo Trace focused on a single variable—the grain itself.

The result is a 10-year-old wheated bourbon bottled at 94 proof that replaces traditional wheat with ancient spelt wheat, a grain known for adding subtle sweetness, nuttiness, and baking spice characteristics. According to Buffalo Trace Master Distiller Harlen Wheatley, the goal was to let the grain’s unique personality shine without additional production variables. (The Whiskey Wash)

Daniel Weller is one of Buffalo Trace’s most premium experimental brands and carries a suggested retail price of $549.99. Since its initial release earlier this year, bottles have been distributed only in limited quantities to select retailers, bars, restaurants, and the Distillery itself. (The Whiskey Wash)

What to Expect

• 10 years old
• 94 proof
• Ancient spelt wheat replaces the traditional wheat in the mashbill
• Notes of caramel, butterscotch, baking spices, toasted oak, and gentle nuttiness
• Suggested retail price: $549.99 (The Whiskey Wash)

As always, availability at Buffalo Trace can change quickly throughout the day. If you’re planning a visit, arriving earlier generally gives you the best chance before the day’s inventory is exhausted.

Were you lucky enough to grab one today? Let us know in the comments and share your bottle photos!

You could also pair this with a headline image reading: “Available Today at Buffalo Trace Distillery: Daniel Weller Spelt Wheat” to drive more clicks on social media.

Visitors to the gift shop today have something new to keep an eye out for: Single Oak Rye Bourbon is now available for $74.99, while supplies last.

For fans following the evolution of the Single Oak Project, this is a pretty exciting moment. Earlier this year on Buffalo Trace Daily, we highlighted signs that the distillery might be preparing to bring the Single Oak concept back in a bigger way—and releases like this continue to support that prediction. It’s another signal the experimental barrel program may be stepping into a more consistent presence moving forward.

If you’re planning a visit soon, this is definitely one to watch for at the counter. As always with gift shop releases like this, availability can change quickly.

Price: $74.99
Availability: While supplies last

We’ll keep tracking how often this shows up and whether it starts appearing in a more regular rotation.

A special release of Stagg this morning!

Known for its barrel proof strength and rich flavors of caramel, dark fruit, vanilla, and oak, Stagg remains one of the most sought-after bourbons produced by the distillery.

If you’re planning a visit today, expect strong demand as bourbon fans line up for a chance to purchase a bottle.

Good luck, and happy hunting!

Whether you’re a longtime Blanton’s collector or just opened your first bottle, the right display can transform your bourbon collection into a true conversation piece. From handcrafted Blanton’s bottle displays and barrel stave shelves to stopper displays that showcase your horse and jockey collection, these pieces combine craftsmanship with functionality while celebrating one of the world’s most iconic bourbons.

If you’re looking for the perfect way to organize your bottles, display your Blanton’s stoppers or add authentic bourbon barrel decor to your home bar, these handcrafted displays are some of the best options available.

Bourbon Collector Find

The Ultimate Way to Display a Full Blanton’s Set

A premium handcrafted barrel stave display built to keep your Blanton’s bottles locked, level, evenly spaced and worthy of the hunt.

Handmade Bourbon Décor

These handcrafted barrel stave pieces are made for collectors, home bars, bourbon rooms, gift giving and anyone who believes good whiskey deserves a better stage.

Blanton’s Bottle & Stopper Display

This is the kind of display that makes a completed Blanton’s set feel finished. Instead of lining rare bottles across a shelf and hoping they look even, this handcrafted barrel stave display gives each bottle its own secure place.

The bottles stay locked, level and evenly spaced, while the stopper row turns the full horse collection into part of the presentation. It also includes six additional bottle spaces, making it ideal for Weller, Pappy Van Winkle or other bottles that deserve more than a crowded bar cart.

$176.00 Free shipping

Shop Blanton’s Display

Bourbon Barrel Stave Weller Bottle Display – 6 Bottle

Built for Weller fans, this six-bottle barrel stave display turns a hard-earned lineup into a clean, organized centerpiece. It is perfect for showing off Weller Special Reserve, Antique 107, Full Proof, 12 Year, Single Barrel or C.Y.P.B. without hiding them in the back of a cabinet.

$176.00 Free shipping

Shop Weller Display

Cigar Holder, Whiskey Stave, Bourbon Stave, Handmade Cigar

A simple upgrade for the bourbon drinker who also enjoys a good cigar. This handmade whiskey stave cigar holder adds a rustic, barrel-room feel to a home bar, tasting table or gift basket without taking up much space.

$48.00 Free shipping

Shop Cigar Holder

Handmade Charred Oak Whiskey Barrel Clock

This charred oak whiskey barrel clock brings serious statement-piece energy to a bourbon room, man cave, office or bar wall. It is functional décor with a handcrafted whiskey-barrel look that feels more personal than mass-produced wall art.

$380.00 Free shipping

Shop Whiskey Clock

Handmade Wine Barrel Stave Candle Holder Centerpiece

Handmade wine stave candle holder each stave is unique in size, color and bow. Engineered system to keep inverted stave stable. Size approx. 3 X 3 X 34. 5 candles included.

$130.00 Free shipping

Shop Candle Holder

Collectors Are Loving It

“A must have for bourbon lovers. Great item. Fast shipping. A+++ seller!”

“Awesome piece, looks great with the full Blanton’s set.”

“Beautifully made! It was a gift for my husband, and he loved it!”

“If you have 8 bottles of Blanton’s, you need this.”

Buffalo Trace Daily may earn a commission if you purchase through affiliate links. This helps support the site at no additional cost to you.

Just one day after announcing plans to release W.L. Weller Full Proof at the distillery on Thursday, June 25, Buffalo Trace Distillery has officially postponed the highly anticipated release.

The distillery shared the update on social media Wednesday morning, citing feedback from visitors who attended last weekend’s Weller C.Y.P.B. release during Father’s Day weekend.

According to Buffalo Trace, the decision was made after hearing concerns from guests about the overall experience, including lengthy lines and parking challenges that resulted from the overwhelming turnout.

“Thank you to the Buffalo Trace Distillery community for your energy and support this weekend. We heard your feedback,” the distillery wrote in its announcement.

Buffalo Trace said it is postponing Thursday’s Weller Full Proof release so it can make improvements before hosting another special bottle event.

“We are postponing Thursday’s Weller Full Proof drop so we can make sure the next one is a great experience for all,” the statement continued.

The announcement comes after Buffalo Trace Daily first reported Tuesday that Weller Full Proof was expected to be released on June 25. The distillery had also promoted the release across its social media channels before ultimately deciding to delay it.

While no new release date has been announced, Buffalo Trace indicated that updates will be shared in the near future.

Please Note, Buffalo Trace Daily Updated Our Special Release Odds Following Weller Full Proof Postponement

Visitors who were planning to travel to Frankfort on Thursday will still find several Weller-themed activities taking place at the distillery. Buffalo Trace said guests can enjoy complimentary Weller Full Proof tastings, 10% off merchandise, 10% off food purchases at the John G. Carlisle Café, and $5 cocktails.

For collectors hoping to add a bottle of Weller Full Proof to their collection, the postponement means a little more waiting. However, the distillery appears committed to ensuring the next release runs more smoothly than the crowded Father’s Day weekend event that prompted the change.

Buffalo Trace Daily will continue monitoring the situation and will provide updates as soon as a new Weller Full Proof release date is announced.

Buffalo Trace Distillery has announced that Weller Full Proof will be available in the Gift Shop on Thursday, June 25.

According to the announcement, the entrance to the distillery will open to both vehicles and pedestrians at 8:00 a.m.Visitors hoping to purchase a bottle should plan accordingly, as Weller Full Proof remains one of the most sought-after expressions in the Weller lineup.

About Weller Full Proof

Weller Full Proof is bottled at the same 114 proof at which it entered the barrel, rather than being proofed down before bottling. The wheated bourbon recipe is the same mash bill used across the Weller family, replacing rye with wheat as the secondary grain.

The bourbon has developed a strong following among enthusiasts thanks to its combination of rich caramel sweetness, dark fruit notes, vanilla, and a higher-proof punch.

What This Means for Visitors

Weller Full Proof is typically considered a special release bottle at Buffalo Trace Distillery and is not part of the regular daily allocation rotation. Demand is expected to be high, and visitors arriving later in the day may find supplies limited depending on turnout and bottle counts.

Anyone planning a trip should arrive early and be prepared for lines before the gates open.

Buffalo Trace Daily Take

This release continues an active stretch of special bottle drops at the distillery and gives visitors another opportunity to purchase one of the most desirable wheated bourbons produced by Buffalo Trace.

If you’re heading to Frankfort on June 25, Weller Full Proof is likely to be one of the most anticipated gift shop releases of the summer.

Bottle: Weller Full Proof
Date: June 25
Gate Opening: 8:00 a.m.
Location: Gift Shop at Buffalo Trace Distillery

Stay tuned to Buffalo Trace Daily for updates on line conditions, sellout timing, and future release predictions.

Buffalo Trace fans know what this means — when the sign says “While Supplies Last,” it’s time to move. A limited amount of Weller C.Y.P.B. (Craft Your Perfect Bourbon) will be available for purchase at open-of-business in the Gift Shop, with a strict limit of one bottle per person. A first-come, first-served morning rush, so anyone hoping to score a bottle will want to arrive early and be ready when doors open. As always with highly allocated releases, once they’re gone, they’re gone.

Buffalo Trace Distillery has announced its special Father’s Day Weekend bottle releases, giving visitors two opportunities to purchase limited bottles during the holiday weekend.

According to the announcement, the Father’s Day Weekend Bottle Drop schedule includes:

Saturday, June 20

• Weller C.Y.P.B.

Sunday, June 21 (Father’s Day)

• Blanton’s 375 mL

The distillery also noted that no other bottle drops are planned for Father’s Day weekend. As with previous special releases, quantities will be limited and bottles will be sold on a first come, first served basis.

For bourbon fans, the appearance of Weller C.Y.P.B. is particularly noteworthy. The bottle, whose name stands for “Craft Your Perfect Bourbon,” was created after Buffalo Trace asked whiskey enthusiasts to vote on their ideal bourbon recipe and aging profile. It remains one of the more sought-after bottles in the Weller lineup and is rarely available at retail prices.

The Father’s Day Blanton’s release will feature the 375 mL format rather than the standard 750 mL bottle. While smaller in size, the bottle still gives collectors and visitors a chance to purchase one of Buffalo Trace’s most recognizable single barrel bourbons directly from the distillery.

What This Means

The announcement is notable because Buffalo Trace specifically stated that no additional bottle drops are planned for the weekend. In recent years, special holiday weekends have often generated speculation about surprise releases or multiple allocated offerings. This announcement appears intended to set expectations and encourage visitors to plan around the two scheduled releases.

As always, availability is expected to be limited. Visitors interested in purchasing either bottle should plan to arrive early, as special releases at the distillery can sell out quickly.

Buffalo Trace Daily will continue tracking distillery releases and provide updates if any changes are announced leading up to Father’s Day weekend.

Buffalo Trace fans may want to mark their calendars.

According to a bottle drop announcement, a limited quantity of Weller 12 will be available at the gift shop on Thursday, June 18. The release will be sold on a first come, first served basis while supplies last.

Weller 12 is one of the most sought after bottles in the Weller lineup. Bottled at 90 proof and aged for 12 years, it features the wheated bourbon mash bill that has made the Weller brand a favorite among collectors and enthusiasts. Expect notes of caramel, vanilla, oak, and baking spices with a long, smooth finish.

The timing of this drop is particularly noteworthy. Weller 12 is not a regular offering at the Buffalo Trace Distillery Gift Shop and typically appears only a handful of times each year. When it does show up, demand is usually strong and bottles can sell out quickly.

Visitors planning to attend should arrive early and be prepared for limited availability. As always, Buffalo Trace Distillery reserves the right to adjust inventory and availability without notice.

What We Know

• Bottle: Weller 12
• Date: Thursday, June 18
• Location: Buffalo Trace Distillery Gift Shop
• Availability: Limited quantities
• Sales Method: First come, first served

For Buffalo Trace Daily readers, this announcement serves as another reminder that special bottle drops continue to be one of the most exciting parts of visiting the distillery. If you’re hoping to add a bottle of Weller 12 to your collection, this may be one of the best opportunities of the summer.

Stay tuned to Buffalo Trace Daily for additional bottle drop announcements, release tracking, and daily predictions.